SPC Mar 23, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Risk for severe weather appears low at this time across the U.S. for Tuesday. ...Discussion... A western ridge/eastern trough pattern will generally prevail into/through the Day 3 period (Tuesday). Late in the period, height falls associated with an approaching eastern Pacific trough will begin affecting the Pacific Northwest region. Isolated thunderstorm development is conditionally possible during late afternoon over parts of North Texas near the remnant surface front, where a deeply mixed boundary layer topped by weak CAPE will exist. Gusty winds would be possible in this scenario. Greater storm development may occur farther west -- into the Texas Panhandle vicinity near/north of the front overnight, as the boundary layer cools and a low-level jet develops. While small hail would be possible as storms spread east-southeastward through the end of the period, CAPE should remain marginal enough to largely preclude risk for severe-caliber hail. ..Goss.. 03/23/2025 Read more
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Risk for severe weather appears low at this time across the U.S. for Tuesday. ...Discussion... A western ridge/eastern trough pattern will generally prevail into/through the Day 3 period (Tuesday). Late in the period, height falls associated with an approaching eastern Pacific trough will begin affecting the Pacific Northwest region. Isolated thunderstorm development is conditionally possible during late afternoon over parts of North Texas near the remnant surface front, where a deeply mixed boundary layer topped by weak CAPE will exist. Gusty winds would be possible in this scenario. Greater storm development may occur farther west -- into the Texas Panhandle vicinity near/north of the front overnight, as the boundary layer cools and a low-level jet develops. While small hail would be possible as storms spread east-southeastward through the end of the period, CAPE should remain marginal enough to largely preclude risk for severe-caliber hail. ..Goss.. 03/23/2025 Read more