WW 241 SEVERE TSTM TX 081950Z - 090400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 241 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 250 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South-Central into Deep South Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms will pose a threat for mainly large hail up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter as they move slowly east-southeastward this afternoon and evening. Some threat for severe winds of 60-75 mph may also exist with any clusters that evolve. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west northwest of Del Rio TX to 45 miles east of Laredo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238...WW 239...WW 240... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30025. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0243 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 243 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/09/25 ATTN...WFO...CRP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 243 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-025-131-249-273-297-311-355-391-409-090140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BEE DUVAL JIM WELLS KLEBERG LIVE OAK MCMULLEN NUECES REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO GMZ231-232-236-250-255-090140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE BAFFIN BAY AND UPPER LAGUNA MADRE CORPUS CHRISTI AND NUECES BAYS COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 Read more

WW 0243 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 243 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..05/09/25 ATTN...WFO...CRP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 243 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-025-131-249-273-297-311-355-391-409-090140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BEE DUVAL JIM WELLS KLEBERG LIVE OAK MCMULLEN NUECES REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO GMZ231-232-236-250-255-090140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE BAFFIN BAY AND UPPER LAGUNA MADRE CORPUS CHRISTI AND NUECES BAYS COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 Read more

WW 243 SEVERE TSTM TX CW 090010Z - 090500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 243 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 710 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South Texas Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday night from 710 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of strong to severe cellular thunderstorms will likely grow upscale into a linear band of thunderstorms this evening. Large hail (1 to 2 inches in diameter) and severe gusts (60-75 mph) will be the primary threats with the more intense storms. This activity is forecast to move east of the coast tonight. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northwest of Beeville TX to 105 miles south of Alice TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238...WW 239...WW 240...WW 241...WW 242... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30035. ...Smith Read more

WW 0238 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 238 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S MKL TO 20 ENE MKL TO 40 WSW BNA TO 35 SSE BWG TO 25 ENE BWG TO 55 W LOZ. ..HART..05/08/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 238 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-009-053-057-169-171-207-090040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR BARREN CLINTON CUMBERLAND METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL MSC003-009-057-081-115-117-139-141-145-090040- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN BENTON ITAWAMBA LEE PONTOTOC PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION TNC003-015-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-049-055-061-071-077-081- 087-099-101-109-111-117-119-133-135-137-141-149-159-165-169-175- 177-181-185-187-189-090040- TN Read more

WW 0238 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 238 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S MKL TO 20 ENE MKL TO 40 WSW BNA TO 35 SSE BWG TO 25 ENE BWG TO 55 W LOZ. ..HART..05/08/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 238 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-009-053-057-169-171-207-090040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR BARREN CLINTON CUMBERLAND METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL MSC003-009-057-081-115-117-139-141-145-090040- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN BENTON ITAWAMBA LEE PONTOTOC PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION TNC003-015-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-049-055-061-071-077-081- 087-099-101-109-111-117-119-133-135-137-141-149-159-165-169-175- 177-181-185-187-189-090040- TN Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0746 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 238...239...240... FOR THE TENNESSEE VALLEY VICINITY
Mesoscale Discussion 0746 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0343 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Areas affected...the Tennessee Valley Vicinity Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238...239...240... Valid 082043Z - 082215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238, 239, 240 continues. SUMMARY...The ongoing large hail/damaging wind threat will continue through the late afternoon and into the evening. DISCUSSION...A broad region of moderate instability and moderate shear is present from central Kentucky southward into northeast Mississippi to the Appalachians. Within this area, multiple supercells have developed with reports of 1 to 2 inch hail. The environment across the region remains favorable through the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening. Therefore, ongoing supercells will likely continue with additional development also possible. The threat has been mostly hail thus far given the more discrete mode. However, as storms coverage increases, expect clusters and potential bowing line segments to develop. This would result in a greater damaging wind threat this evening. ..Bentley.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN... PAH...MEG...JAN... LAT...LON 37218873 37548694 37238374 36678264 35018359 33768650 33308881 33258949 33438960 35048899 37218873 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0238 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 238 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW PAH TO 20 S PAH TO 10 ESE PAH. ..BENTLEY..05/08/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 238 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-031-033-035-039-045-047-053-055-057-059-061-075- 083-085-087-099-101-105-107-139-141-143-149-157-169-171-177-183- 207-213-217-219-221-225-227-233-082140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN BUTLER CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON CRITTENDEN CUMBERLAND DAVIESS EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON GREEN HART HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LOGAN LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL METCALFE MONROE MUHLENBERG OHIO RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD TRIGG UNION WARREN WEBSTER MSC003-009-057-081-115-117-139-141-145-082140- MS Read more

WW 238 SEVERE TSTM KY TN 081725Z - 090100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 238 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western and Central Kentucky Western and Middle Tennessee * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Multiple supercells and thunderstorm clusters are expected to develop and spread generally eastward this afternoon and evening. Both large hail generally 1-2 inches in diameter and damaging winds will be a threat with this activity. Peak gusts could reach up to 60-70 mph if any thunderstorms can form. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of Jackson TN to 40 miles north of Crossville TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0242 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0242 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 242 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC VA 082020Z - 090400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 242 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 420 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Georgia Western and Central North Carolina Western and Northern South Carolina Southwest Virginia * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 420 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue developing this afternoon and evening. The most intense cores will be capable of producing large hail up to 1-2 inches in diameter. There should also be some potential for a cluster to develop later this evening and pose a greater threat for severe/damaging winds, with peak gusts up to 60-70 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles southwest of Hot Springs NC to 40 miles south southeast of Danville VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238...WW 239...WW 240...WW 241... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Gleason Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 082000Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-SOUTH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST...AND PARTS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and large hail are expected today over parts of the Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians/Southeast, with isolated very large hail possible. Severe wind gusts and large to very large hail will also be possible across portions of west/south Texas including the Rio Grande Valley. ...20Z Update... The forecast remains on track, and only minor adjustments were made with this update. In particular, the Slight Risk along the Rio Grande Valley in Texas was expanded northward, where scattered thunderstorms are gradually intensifying in a moist/unstable air mass with 40-50 kt of effective shear. Reference MCD 745 for more details. Farther east, widely scattered thunderstorms -- including several discrete supercell structures -- are spreading eastward across Severe Thunderstorm Watches 238, 239, and 240. The only change to the outlook here was a minor expansion of the significant-hail probabilities ahead of evolving supercells. For details, reference MCDs 743 and 744. ..Weinman.. 05/08/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT Thu May 08 2025/ ...Tennessee Valley/Southeast Appalachians into the Southeast... A positively tilted upper trough will extend from Ontario and the Northeast southwestward across the Great Lakes, OH/TN Valley, and into the Mid-South and southern Plains today. A weak surface low analyzed this morning over the mid MS Valley is forecast to gradually fill/lose definition through the afternoon/evening, as a weak cold front moves slowly south-southeastward through the period. Areas of at least scattered to broken clouds remain evident on recent visible satellite imagery from northern MS/western TN to the southern Appalachians. This will tend to hinder diurnal destabilization to some extent, but cool temperatures aloft (around -13 to -16C at 500 mb from area 12Z soundings) and modestly steepened mid-level lapse rates should compensate to some extent. Within the broader upper troughing, a weak embedded upper low/trough will continue to advance slowly eastward from the mid MS Valley to the TN Valley and southern Appalachians through this evening. Modest large-scale ascent associated with this feature, along with weak low-level convergence along the cold front, should be sufficient to aid in at least scattered convective development across these regions this afternoon. A combination of moderate instability and around 30-40 kt of effective bulk shear appear adequate to support some thunderstorm organization. Multiple supercells and short line segments/clusters should develop and spread east-southeast this afternoon/evening across parts of the Mid-South into the TN Valley and southern Appalachians. Large hail will be possible with sustained supercells, and isolated very large hail (potentially up to 2-2.5 inches in diameter) could also occur. Otherwise, severe/damaging winds will also be a concern with any clusters. Based on latest observational and guidance trends showing a favorable environment this afternoon and evening across a broader portion of the TN Valley/Southeast, the Slight Risk has been expanded westward some across the Mid-South/lower OH Valley where convection is initiating, and eastward to include more of north/central GA, and the western/central Carolinas into south-central VA. A somewhat separate area of strong to severe thunderstorms may focus along/near the Atlantic Coast sea breeze this afternoon from parts of coastal/southeast GA to the east-central FL Peninsula. Seasonably cool temperatures aloft combined with moderate to strong instability and a generally long/straight hodograph at mid/upper-levels should support some threat for both large hail and damaging winds with any cells/clusters that can form. ...Rio Grande Valley... Thunderstorms are ongoing late this morning across parts of west TX, in association with a weak shortwave trough over northern Mexico and related modest low-level warm/moist advection. Current expectations are for this activity to gradually increase in coverage and intensity across the Big Bend region and vicinity through the afternoon as daytime heating acts to further destabilize an already moist low-level airmass. While mid-level winds are not forecast to be overly strong with the low-amplitude shortwave trough, veering winds with height will support deep-layer shear around 35-45 kt. Supercells should be the primary convective mode initially, with a threat for scattered large to very large hail (generally 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter) and isolated severe winds. Additional intense convection should develop over the higher terrain of north-central to northeast Mexico, with some potential for this activity to spread east-southeastward across the Rio Grande Valley this afternoon and evening in a moderately to strongly unstable airmass. Large hail will continue to be a threat with any sustained supercells, and the threat for severe/damaging winds may also increase if a small cluster/MCS can develop and spread southeastward this evening and tonight. Finally, a separate area of strong to severe thunderstorms may develop through the afternoon along/near the coast and a stalled front in deep south TX. This activity would also pose some threat for severe hail/wind given a very moist/unstable airmass and sufficient deep-layer shear for organized updrafts. Read more

WW 0241 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0241 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 241 SEVERE TSTM TX 081950Z - 090400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 241 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 250 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South-Central into Deep South Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms will pose a threat for mainly large hail up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter as they move slowly east-southeastward this afternoon and evening. Some threat for severe winds of 60-75 mph may also exist with any clusters that evolve. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west northwest of Del Rio TX to 45 miles east of Laredo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238...WW 239...WW 240... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30025. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0240 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0240 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 240 SEVERE TSTM KY NC TN VA 081930Z - 090300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 240 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 330 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Kentucky Far Southwest North Carolina Eastern Tennessee Far Southwest Virginia * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify this afternoon and evening while moving eastward and posing a threat for large hail up to 1-2 inches in diameter. Scattered damaging winds with peak gusts to 60-70 mph should also occur with any thunderstorm clusters that can develop. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 85 miles east northeast of London KY to 10 miles east southeast of Chattanooga TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238...WW 239... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0239 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0239 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 239 SEVERE TSTM AL TN 081900Z - 090300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 239 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 200 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and Central Alabama Southern Middle Tennessee * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should continue to develop eastward from northeast Mississippi into parts of northern/central Alabama and southern middle Tennessee this afternoon and evening. Supercells will pose a threat for large hail up to 1-2 inches in diameter. Any clusters that can form may also pose some risk for damaging winds up to 60-70 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles southwest of Muscle Shoals AL to 55 miles north northeast of Gadsden AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Gleason Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more