WW 0262 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 262 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW RKR TO 20 NNW RUE TO 20 N FLP TO 15 ENE UNO TO 35 SW FAM TO 15 S BLV TO 35 SSW DEC. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...LSX...PAH...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 262 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC005-023-029-049-063-065-067-075-083-089-115-121-127-129-135- 137-141-149-162340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAXTER CLEBURNE CONWAY FULTON INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE LOGAN MARION POPE RANDOLPH SCOTT SEARCY SHARP STONE VAN BUREN YELL ILC005-027-051-077-121-145-157-189-162340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND CLINTON FAYETTE JACKSON MARION PERRY RANDOLPH WASHINGTON Read more

WW 0263 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 263 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE NHK TO 10 WSW CXY TO 15 ESE UNV. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...LWX...CTP...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 263 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MDC003-005-015-025-510-162340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CECIL HARFORD MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY PAC043-071-075-099-133-162340- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DAUPHIN LANCASTER LEBANON PERRY YORK ANZ530-531-532-538-539-540-541-543-162340- Read more

WW 0263 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 263 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE NHK TO 10 WSW CXY TO 15 ESE UNV. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...LWX...CTP...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 263 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MDC003-005-015-025-510-162340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CECIL HARFORD MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY PAC043-071-075-099-133-162340- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DAUPHIN LANCASTER LEBANON PERRY YORK ANZ530-531-532-538-539-540-541-543-162340- Read more

WW 262 TORNADO AR IL MO OK 161655Z - 170000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 262 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1155 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Arkansas Southwestern Illinois Central and Eastern Missouri Far Eastern Oklahoma * Effective this Friday morning and evening from 1155 AM until 700 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...The airmass across the region continues to destabilize amid strong low-level moisture advection and daytime heating. Robust thunderstorm development is anticipated over the next few hours as an approaching cold front interacts with this strong buoyant airmass. Strong vertical shear is also in place, supporting supercells as the primary storm mode. All severe hazards are possible with these supercells, including very large hail up to 4" in diameter and strong tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles south of Harrison AR to 35 miles north northwest of Saint Louis MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 260...WW 261... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Mosier Read more

WW 0264 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 264 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE HSE TO 45 WSW ECG TO 45 W ECG TO 30 E ORF. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...MHX...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 264 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC029-041-053-055-073-139-143-177-187-170040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAMDEN CHOWAN CURRITUCK DARE GATES PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS TYRRELL WASHINGTON VAC810-170040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE VIRGINIA BEACH AMZ131-150-230-231-ANZ633-650-656-658-170040- Read more

WW 264 SEVERE TSTM MD NC VA CW 161930Z - 170300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 264 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 330 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far Eastern Maryland Northern North Carolina Southern and Eastern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms is expected to move into south-central VA and northwest NC over the next hour or two. This line is then expected to continue eastward across the remainder of southern/eastern NC and northern NC this afternoon/evening. Some cellular development is possible ahead of this line as well. Environmental conditions support the potential for hail and damaging gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles southwest of Roanoke VA to 15 miles east northeast of Elizabeth City NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 260...WW 261...WW 262...WW 263... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26040. ...Mosier Read more

WW 0265 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N SLO TO 15 ESE MTO TO 25 SSW LAF TO 20 ENE LAF. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-023-025-033-035-045-047-049-055-059-065-069-079-081-087- 101-127-151-153-159-165-181-185-191-193-199-170040- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE MASSAC POPE PULASKI RICHLAND SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON INC005-011-013-019-021-023-025-027-031-035-037-043-051-055-057- 059-061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-107- 109-117-119-121-123-125-129-133-135-139-143-145-147-153-159-163- 167-173-175-170040- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0266 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 266 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW SBY TO 25 NW SBY TO 15 SE DOV TO 15 WNW ACY TO 40 E ACY. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...PHI... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 266 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DEC005-170040- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE SUSSEX NJC009-170040- NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAPE MAY ANZ431-452-453-454-455-170040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 Read more

WW 0266 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 266 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW SBY TO 25 NW SBY TO 15 SE DOV TO 15 WNW ACY TO 40 E ACY. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...PHI... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 266 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DEC005-170040- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE SUSSEX NJC009-170040- NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAPE MAY ANZ431-452-453-454-455-170040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 Read more

WW 0267 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 267 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 267 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-027-035-053-085-093-099-113-119-121-139-143-145-147-161- 193-213-217-221-223-231-251-257-277-281-289-293-299-309-331-333- 349-367-379-395-397-425-439-467-491-170040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BELL BOSQUE BURNET COLLIN COMANCHE CORYELL DALLAS DELTA DENTON ELLIS ERATH FALLS FANNIN FREESTONE HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL HOOD HOPKINS HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE LLANO MCLENNAN MILAM MILLS NAVARRO PARKER RAINS ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SOMERVELL TARRANT VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0268 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0268 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 268 SEVERE TSTM IL IN OH 162245Z - 170400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 268 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 645 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Illinois Northern Indiana Far Northwest Ohio * Effective this Friday night from 645 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...High-based thunderstorms should pose a threat for mainly severe/damaging winds through the evening. Peak gusts may reach up to 60-70 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles west northwest of Fort Wayne IN to 85 miles west southwest of Fort Wayne IN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 262...WW 263...WW 264...WW 265...WW 266...WW 267... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25040. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0269 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0269 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0270 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0270 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 0818 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHEAST WI INTO CENTRAL UPPER MI
Mesoscale Discussion 0818 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Areas affected...northeast WI into central Upper MI Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 161930Z - 162130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated severe gusts with small to marginally severe hail will be possible into early evening with high-based thunderstorms advancing north-northeast from northeast Wisconsin into central Upper Michigan. DISCUSSION...Scattered high-based thunderstorms have developed downstream of the vertically stacked cyclone over northern MN. Despite surface dew points only in the 40s to low 50s, storm development has been sustained where temperatures warmed into the low to mid 80s. This has yielded a deep inverted-v thermodynamic profile. Shear within the buoyancy layer appears weak, but the steep lapse rates through the troposphere will foster small to marginally severe hail cores. This should enhance downdrafts and could support strong to severe microbursts as convection spreads northeast through the rest of the afternoon. ..Grams/Mosier.. 05/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB... LAT...LON 44628927 45438876 46298799 46768742 46848709 46658619 46098615 44328741 44198789 44158879 44268912 44628927 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

MD 0819 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO MUCH OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0819 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0310 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Areas affected...much of northeast Texas into much of southern Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 162010Z - 162215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms appear likely later this afternoon, with large hail and locally damaging gusts the most likely threats. DISCUSSION...The primary surface front currently extends from near Ft. Smith AR southwestward into parts of North Texas, with very strong instability in place. A special 19Z FWD sounding shows MLCAPE of 3250 J/kg, along with 0-6 km shear around 55 kt. Weak convergence along the front and continued heating should result in sporadic storm development along this boundary, and the environment will supercells producing very large hail. Visible imagery shows towering CU along portions of the front, and initiation appears likely in the next couple hours. ..Jewell/Mosier.. 05/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 34369509 34789443 35099394 35249302 35189235 34959178 34279140 33559168 31649578 31279754 31699831 32319820 32579790 33369643 34369509 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

MD 0820 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 263... FOR WESTERN/CENTRAL PA TO NORTHERN VA
Mesoscale Discussion 0820 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0314 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Areas affected...western/central PA to northern VA Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 263... Valid 162014Z - 162215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 263 continues. SUMMARY...A mix of damaging winds and severe hail remains possible through early evening from western to central Pennsylvania southward into northern Virginia. A corridor of greater damaging wind potential is apparent in central Maryland, the District of Columbia, and far northern Virginia. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage has steadily increased ahead of a minor MCV, and separately along a wavy outflow boundary. Measured strong to severe wind gusts have occurred along the outflow associated with the MCV. Very strong mid-level winds persist in the wake of this MCV, as sampled by recent RLX VWP data. With surface temperatures in the mid to upper 80s ahead of this outflow, yielding peak MLCAPE of 2000-2500 J/kg, damaging wind swaths are most probable into central MD to far northern VA. Farther north, convection has largely struggled, outside of a slow-moving supercell along the separate outflow boundary in south-central PA. Mixed severe hail and damaging wind will remain possible here, amid weak low-level shear/SRH. ..Grams.. 05/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...PBZ... LAT...LON 41077947 41107851 41097790 40777722 39657638 38947630 38457635 38177670 38587811 39107820 39617826 40137886 40727947 41077947 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

WW 0266 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0266 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 266 SEVERE TSTM DE MD NJ PA CW 162035Z - 170400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 266 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 435 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Delaware Far Eastern Maryland Central and Southern New Jersey Far Southeastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon from 435 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Ongoing cluster of storms upstream across south-central PA and central MD is expected to continue eastward into the moderately buoyant and sheared airmass from far eastern MD and far southeastern PA into southern NJ and DE. Some of the stronger storms could produce large hail and/or damaging gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest of Trenton NJ to 30 miles south southeast of Dover DE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 261...WW 262...WW 263...WW 264...WW 265... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Mosier Read more

WW 0261 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 261 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW HKY TO 25 SW BLF TO 15 SE PSK. ..GRAMS..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...RNK...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 261 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC003-005-009-027-171-189-193-197-162140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ASHE CALDWELL SURRY WATAUGA WILKES YADKIN VAC035-063-077-141-173-197-640-162140- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARROLL FLOYD GRAYSON PATRICK SMYTH WYTHE VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE GALAX Read more