WW 0012 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 12 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S TLH TO 30 E TLH. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 12 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 16/15Z. ..KERR..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC079-123-161500- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MADISON TAYLOR GAC185-161500- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LOWNDES THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 161300Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and a brief tornado or two remain possible through about midday from north Florida to parts of South Carolina. Isolated damaging winds and a brief tornado may also occur northward into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region through the afternoon. ...Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic... As an upper trough pivots northeastward from the Southeast to Mid-Atlantic today, an extensive QLCS in progress this morning will continue moving quickly eastward across north FL, southeast GA, and SC. Greater low-level moisture and related weak instability is present over parts of north FL and vicinity ahead of the line and a surface cold front. Boundary layer moisture and buoyancy quickly drop off with northward extent into GA/SC/NC. Still, very strong low-level flow remains present across these regions, with a 50-70+ kt low-level jet supporting ample 0-3 km SRH. Current expectations are for the northern portion of the line to gradually outpace appreciable surface-based instability, while the southern portion becomes increasingly displaced from the large-scale ascent associated with the departing upper trough. Even so, scattered severe/damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado or two should remain possible through about midday given the strength of the low-level flow present. See Mesoscale Discussion 108 for more near-term details. The northern portion this QLCS should remain generally elevated atop a near-surface stable layer in the lee of the Appalachians in NC to VA for the next few hours. But, it should eventually impinge on weak surface-based buoyancy later in the morning across the coastal Carolinas to southeastern VA. With very strong low-level flow/shear expected to be in place across these regions, any intensification of the thin convective line may yield occasional damaging winds and perhaps even a brief tornado. Even so, most guidance continues to suggest the overall severe threat will remain isolated/marginal from roughly NC northward into the Mid-Atlantic. ..Gleason/Broyles.. 02/16/2025 Read more

WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE ABY TO 40 NNW VDI TO 10 W AGS. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC091-107-175-209-271-279-283-309-161340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DODGE EMANUEL LAURENS MONTGOMERY TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more